Government support in Finland drops to new low in Yle poll

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				Government support in Finland drops to new low in Yle poll

The chairpersons of the government parties — Minister of Agriculture and Forestry Sari Essayah (left), Minister of Finance Riikka Purra, Prime Minister Petteri Orpo, and Minister of Education Anders Adlercreutz at a media meeting. Photo: Roni Rekomaa / Lehtikuva

Support for Finland’s four-party governing coalition has fallen to 38.8 percent, its lowest level since the administration took office in summer 2023, according to Yle’s latest poll on voter sentiment.

The poll shows a sharp drop for Petteri Orpo, Prime Minister and leader of the National Coalition Party (NCP). Support for the NCP declined by nearly two percentage points, landing at 19.1 percent. It marks the party’s weakest result of the year.

Jari Pajunen, CEO of polling firm Taloustutkimus, said many voters who previously supported the NCP no longer express allegiance to any party.

“That is somewhat exceptional, as NCP supporters are usually quite loyal,” Pajunen said.

The NCP’s decline came during a period of intense political discussion about whether Finland should recognise a Palestinian state. The issue dominated headlines in the second half of the polling period.

Among other government parties, support for the Finns Party rose slightly to 12.3 percent after plunging to 10.8 percent in June. Riikka Purra, who leads the party, has seen continued volatility in support. Pajunen said the rebound remains modest compared to earlier in the year, when the party polled above 15 percent.

The Swedish People’s Party and the Christian Democrats, both junior coalition partners, saw marginal declines. Each party remains below 4 percent. The Swedish People’s Party fell by 0.1 percent and the Christian Democrats by 0.5 percent.

The combined decline across all four coalition parties brings their total support to under 39 percent for the first time since the current parliamentary term began.

The main opposition parties have gained ground during the same period.

The Centre Party secured third place with 15.1 percent after a one percentage point rise. Pajunen said the party’s recent growth has come from urban areas, diverging from its traditional rural base.

“The growth in the Centre Party’s support has now come from the cities, not so much from the countryside,” Pajunen said.

The Social Democratic Party (SDP) remains the most popular party in the country. Led by Antti Lindtman, the party polled at 24.7 percent. Although support dipped slightly, Pajunen said the SDP’s position has remained stable, with only minor variations across recent polls.

“This is the fourth time that the SDP’s support has been below 25 percent, but the SDP’s situation seems to be stable,” Pajunen said.

Other opposition parties also improved their position. The Left Alliance passed 10 percent support, and the Greens gained one percentage point. Movement Now, which has no seats in parliament, fell below 1 percent.

Taloustutkimus conducted the poll between 7 July and 5 August 2025. The sample included 2,844 respondents, with 2,048 providing a party preference. The poll excluded residents of Åland and targeted those aged 18 and above. The margin of error is ±1.8 percentage points.

HT

Source: www.helsinkitimes.fi

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